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I had a couple games where I guessed the second half action dead-on, and after that I thought I could read momentum better than the books. I started placing impulsive bets the second I saw a drive pick up steam or a QB get into rhythm. I ignored weather changes, ignored injuries, just fully convinced myself I was tuned in. Then it all crashed in one afternoon—three games, total chaos, nothing went as I “felt” it would. I’ve been more careful since then, and one thing that helped was reading this: https://lawbhoomi.com/hot-hand-why-bettors-chase-winning-streaks/. It breaks down how our brains are wired to see patterns and ride streaks even when they’re random. Made me realize I wasn’t special or unlucky, just falling into a classic trap. Now I track when I win and how I react after each win—if I start skipping research or betting quicker than usual, that’s a red flag for me. I’m not saying don’t enjoy a streak, but treating it like some magical power is where it gets dangerous.